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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (70–57, n=127) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $13K | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $541 | — | Under $655 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |