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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (64–53, n=117) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (10 of 11 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $7.4K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31K | — | Yes $39K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $407K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $258K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $84K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $195 | — | Yes $11K | — |