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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (144–52, n=196) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $726K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (20 of 23 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 80% (12 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=18 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 225 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 9% of 45) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 42% of 19) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 68% of 19) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 96% of 142) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.2K | No $34K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $106K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | No $112K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | Yes $81K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $82K | — | Commanders $65 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $34K | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |