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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlenderManCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)77% (228–68, n=296)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$510K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #450PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (18 of 18 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 110 open)60% (25 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=210———
Settled positions, side won72% of 326 at avg 72¢, ROI −3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 10% of 60)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 50% of 26)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 50% of 20)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 94% of 220)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlenderManCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $29K—No $40K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K