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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SnoorrasonBreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)33% (663–1374, n=2037)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$201K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus35% (6 of 17 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=58———
Settled positions, side won34% of 2322 at avg 31¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢68% (won 9% of 1574)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 56% of 128)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 84)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 536)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSnoorrasonBreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.2KYes $272K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $77K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $186Yes $37K——