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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StarMaster | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1066–992, n=2058) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $105K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (77 of 110 open) | 90% (143 of 159 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=242 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2563 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 11% of 719) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 41% of 494) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 61% of 803) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 89% of 547) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StarMaster | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.8K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $520 | No $117K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $720 | No $26K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $676 | Yes $280K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $65 | Yes $18K | — | — |