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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TBill1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (110–138, n=248) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (28 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=52 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 193 at avg 52¢, ROI −6% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 12% of 69) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 63% of 16) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 81% of 31) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 97% of 77) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TBill1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $7.4K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $155 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $58 | — | Yes $51K | — |