← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Talophex | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 92% (780–68, n=848) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (83 of 87 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=162 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 922 at avg 93¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 11% of 19) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 45% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 97% of 884) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Talophex | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $71 | — | — | No $40K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $497 | — | — | Yes $14K |