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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ThisAgain | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (14–24, n=38) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$650K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #126 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 54% (71 of 132 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 15 at avg 52¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ThisAgain | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $38K | No $40K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | Bills $28K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |