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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (76 of 119 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $18K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | — | — | Over $382 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Hugo Dellien $913 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $1.6K | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $786 | — | — | Nicolas Bruna $17 |