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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (26858–19450, n=46308)48% (12899–14013, n=26912)45% (537–647, n=1184)50% (969–959, n=1928)
Consensus PnL$417K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus70% (45 of 64 open)67% (6 of 9 open)73% (78 of 107 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1814———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1995)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5894)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5883)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3792)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $38—Commanders $24K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1KNo $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7KOver $1.3K——
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K——Over $91
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5.3K—Commanders $1.2M—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.5K—Commanders $209K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $2.6K—Commanders $30K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $164Over $3.0K——
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Steelers $14—Steelers $963