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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WongKimArk | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (226–111, n=337) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $61K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #933 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=18 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 323 at avg 64¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 17% of 48) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 54% of 39) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 73% of 71) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 94% of 165) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WongKimArk | beachboy4 | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | Yes $68 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $644 | Over $527 |