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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aenews2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1121–727, n=1848) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (20 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=49 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 1945 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 9% of 596) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 53% of 112) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 68% of 143) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 1094) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aenews2 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9.8K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $513 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | No $590 | — |