← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| apmt | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (61–19, n=80) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #930 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (19 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 89 at avg 76¢, ROI +9% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 50% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 50% of 4) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 97% of 69) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | apmt | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.5K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75 | — | No $10K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.4K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |