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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aviato | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (1872–321, n=2193) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $204K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #808 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 98% (51 of 52 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=422 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 2579 at avg 86¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 8% of 254) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 28) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 66% of 44) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 98% of 2253) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aviato | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $368 | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $143 | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $34K | — | Yes $170K | — |