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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)50% (423–431, n=854)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)
Consensus PnL-$395K$7.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #358PM monthly #3PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)88% (22 of 25 open)70% (179 of 256 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=159—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 60)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 331)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 51% of 375)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 79% of 81)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $3—Arsenal FC $259
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.5K—No $328