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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)46% (52–60, n=112)18% (2–9, n=11)61% (17–11, n=28)75% (697–230, n=927)
Consensus PnL-$527K-$41K$786K$59K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #131PM monthly #1PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)59% (56 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21NFL −1 pts, n=116—Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%50% of 451 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)10% (won 22% of 46)11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)36% (won 49% of 162)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)45% (won 52% of 203)37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)9% (won 73% of 40)17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $487K—Trail Blazers $2.5KTrail Blazers $30K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $178K—Ciryl Gane $315K—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $41KThunder $160
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $4.1K——Trail Blazers $3.9K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.8K——Trail Blazers $5.8K
M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han
same side · consensus Xirui Han
Xirui Han $83K——Xirui Han $72
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $4.4K——Thunder $243
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $307——Trail Blazers $2.2K
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Team Falcons $812——Team Falcons $14