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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (449–450, n=899) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$342K | $7.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #208 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 65% (130 of 200 open) | 62% (31 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $28K | Yes $2.5K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | — | — | Alexandra Eala $6.8K | Claire Liu $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.1K | Over $704 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo | — | — | Borna Gojo $4.0K | Nikoloz Basilashvili $623 |
| Will AC Monza win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.7K | Yes $158 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $22 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.7K | Under $81 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2.0K | No $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $851 | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere same side · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | — | Anna Blinkova $8.1K | Anna Blinkova $51K |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sunderland AFC | — | — | Sunderland AFC $39K | Sunderland AFC $4.7K |
| Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $15K | No $12K |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10K | No $7.0K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $7.3K | No $7.6K |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.6K | No $6.2K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7.1K | Yes $5.6K |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $8.2K | No $415 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $2.6K | — | Patriots $42 | — |
| Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $470 | No $1.6K |
| Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.5K | No $21 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $544 | Under $875 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) same side · consensus Como 1907 | FC Internazionale Milano $19 | — | FC Internazionale Milano $671 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |