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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)50% (435–436, n=871)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL-$385K$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #354PM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)67% (197 of 296 open)72% (63 of 87 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=159Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 331)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 51% of 375)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 79% of 81)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1Flaznorpndb1primm
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $34K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.5KYes $8.1K——
Spread: UCLA (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
Minnesota $22——UCLA $396
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $3Arsenal FC $268——
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $44—Yes $29—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578Under $6.4K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K