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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (452–448, n=900) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$322K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 74% (144 of 195 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 58% (88 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
46 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $4.4K | Commanders $320 | — | Rams $17K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | Club Atlético de Madrid $117 | Club Atlético de Madrid $13K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Jets $12K | — | — | Chiefs $11K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $10K | — | — | Cowboys $4.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.0K | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.3K | — | Yes $614 |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $7.2K | — | Olympique de Marseille $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K | — | FC Barcelona $113 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $420 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $88 |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Calvin Hemery $973 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $816 | — | Yes $254 |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $768 | — | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $256 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $294 | — | Over $188 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $320 | — | Yes $99 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $63 | — | Over $347 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $383 | — | Over $7 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | — | Under $25 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $168 | — | Bulls $106 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $122 | — | Under $139 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $72 | — | No $88 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Mitchell Krueger $105 | — | Samir Banerjee $2 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | Yes $20 | — |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 161.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | — | Over $8 |
| Browns vs. Saints same side · consensus Saints | Saints $897 | — | — | Saints $70K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $29K | — | No $16K |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $1.4K | — | Broncos $44K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | — | No $19K |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Rams $8.4K | — | — | Rams $8.8K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $9.7K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $137 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | No $5.8K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.8K | — | No $1.8K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.3K | — | No $1.9K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.0K | — | No $5 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $7.9K | — | FC Barcelona $11 |
| Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.4K | — | No $520 |