← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 77% (10963–3272, n=14235) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $6.1M | $11.0M | $874K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (64 of 113 open) | 54% (91 of 167 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 54% of 350) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 73% of 444) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.