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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 77% (10926–3259, n=14185) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $874K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 58% (100 of 171 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $36K | No $125 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $34K | No $15 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $14K | No $5.9K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.4K | No $5.8K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $183K | Yes $6.3K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | No $8.0K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $291 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $737 | No $27 | — |