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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M-$8.8M$4.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #113
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (43 of 59 open)60% (53 of 89 open)72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)—19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)—23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)—44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208KOver $19K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KEagles $53—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $45KCowboys $20K—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13KCommanders $19K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21KJets $9.7K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421K—No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37KGiants $8.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24KColts $8.8K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $248—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $4.3KBulls $11K—