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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 37% (274–467, n=741) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $142K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (64 of 113 open) | 79% (31 of 39 open) | 50% (37 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Politics −1 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 44% of 409 at avg 45¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 53% (won 2% of 216) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 50% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 42% (won 96% of 173) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | kaxel78 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | No $4.9K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | No $777 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | No $13K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $607 | No $2.5K | — |