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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | pollo07 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 36% (280–494, n=774) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $115K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #78 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 65% (60 of 93 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Elections −3 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 51% (won 1% of 207) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 3% (won 45% of 11) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 44% (won 96% of 179) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | pollo07 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $376K | No $149 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $5.4K | No $385 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $55K | No $16K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $795 | No $3.6K | — |