← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (361–221, n=582) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $4.4M | $322K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #801 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (43 of 66 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (17 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 0% | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.9M | — | Yes $1.6K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $102K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $66K | — | Yes $202 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $3.5K |