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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4e46m3Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (10870–6276, n=17146)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL—$680K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #23PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (304 of 493 open)70% (78 of 111 open)70% (62 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 19% of 2052)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 368)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 72% of 497)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2506)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4e46m3Flaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $17—No $335K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24No $651—
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18—Yes $534
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $40
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8—No $13
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $97—Yes $10K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $23No $662—
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $5Energetik Mingechevir $243—