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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)48% (152–168, n=320)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$12K$8.4M$1.4M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)88% (30 of 34 open)63% (100 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=64, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=40, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=10, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won100% of 124 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 68)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 54)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Hawks $30—Lakers $370—
Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30—Yes $59—
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $28—No $8.2K—
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $29—Under $1.8K—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $29—Rockets $1.1K—
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $34—Pelicans $858—