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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (152–168, n=320)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$12K$1.4M$3.2M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)64% (100 of 157 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=64, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=40, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=10, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 124 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 68)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 54)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Lakers vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Hawks $30Lakers $370——
Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30Yes $59——
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $28No $8.2K——
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $29Under $1.8K——
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $29Rockets $1.1K——
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Pelicans $34Pelicans $858——