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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
black-rabbitBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (428–388, n=816)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$411K$7.7M-$8.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #709PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)83% (29 of 35 open)69% (24 of 35 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 5% of 177)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 23% of 104)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 86% of 152)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 200)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketblack-rabbitBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KUnder $802Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $12KBears $27KBears $5.8K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
T1 $1—Bilibili Gaming $2.2K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96Buccaneers $26—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $25K—Bilibili Gaming $13K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $18KBuccaneers $5.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.7KOver $9.0K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $4.0K—Bilibili Gaming $5—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $40—T1 $1.6K—