← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (2139–3714, n=5853) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #438 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (187 of 247 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1173 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1173 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 864) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 88) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 96) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 97% of 125) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $165 | — | Lions $47K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | No $41 | — |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.1K | — | Chiefs $49K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $190 | — | Colts $5.1K |
| Rams vs. Commanders same side · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $221 | — | Commanders $221 |