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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | CryptoSlon | denizz | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (29–82, n=111) | no settled market | 57% (34–26, n=60) | 17% (155–759, n=914) |
| Consensus PnL | $783K | — | $1.1M | $536K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #341 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 74% (323 of 436 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | 7% (won 11% of 46) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | 1% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | 1% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | 90% (won 100% of 565) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | classified | CryptoSlon | denizz | e46m3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | No $40K | — |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.3K | — | Yes $25K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $225 | — | Yes $10K | — |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $7.5K | Yes $59 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | No $13K | — | No $249K | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $32K | Yes $87 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $469 | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.2K | Yes $6 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $49 | Yes $6 |