← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | e46m3 | JamesAltucher | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 32% (520–1095, n=1615) | no settled market | 57% (293–219, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $536K | -$9 | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #531 | PM monthly #158 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 74% (320 of 434 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 7% (won 11% of 46) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 1% (won 86% of 7) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 1% (won 75% of 8) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 90% (won 100% of 565) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.