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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)48% (307–329, n=636)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL$12K-$9.5M$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)73% (11 of 15 open)65% (80 of 123 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won100% of 208 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 100% of 17)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 45)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 100% of 144)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketefntrickferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
opposite sides · consensus Martin Krumich
Martin Krumich $57Martin Krumich $3Hugo Grenier $58—
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $153Cosme Rolland De Ravel $35KCosme Rolland De Ravel $3.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $53Adrian Andreev $21KAdrian Andreev $8.2K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $450Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac $125Tomas Machac $24KTomas Machac $1.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Hersonissos 3: Ryan Peniston vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
—Ryan Peniston $1Henry Searle $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Monastir: Branko Djuric vs Nicolas Tepmahc
same side · consensus Nicolas Tepmahc
Nicolas Tepmahc $22—Nicolas Tepmahc $1.6K—