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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (24–10, n=34) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (20 of 24 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 60% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $545 | No $112K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $26K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $569 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | Yes $45K | — | — |