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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmTSFSYD
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)29% (40–99, n=139)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.7M$28K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #41PM monthly #973
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)65% (77 of 119 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +12 pts n=14, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Tennis −12 pts, n=83
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%26% of 121 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)64% (won 3% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)13% (won 25% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)16% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmTSFSYD
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
Ugo Blanchet $3.7KBuvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
Francesco Forti $239Massimo Giunta $243——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $13KCameron Norrie $6.5K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14KAlex Michelsen $4.9K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $166
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Edas Butvilas
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $398Cosme Rolland De Ravel $266——