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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| graziek99 | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (465–80, n=545) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #905 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Football −3 pts, n=21 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 490 at avg 93¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 50% of 8) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 94% of 481) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | graziek99 | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.3K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $766 | — | Under $1.5K |