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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hazardenen | BreakTheBank | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (276–153, n=429) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $10.6M | $2.9M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #410 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 91% (148 of 163 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 309 at avg 59¢, ROI +21% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 54% of 26) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 74% of 54) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 92% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 97% of 96) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hazardenen | BreakTheBank | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $274K | No $3.3K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $202K | No $214 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $85K | Yes $348 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $31K | Yes $3.5K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | No $815 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | Yes $897 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.6K | Yes $161 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $230 | Yes $9 | — |