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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| heyboy800 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1086–661, n=1747) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=213 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1405 at avg 59¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 15% of 55) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 258) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 59% of 738) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 79% of 354) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | heyboy800 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.9K | — | Over $678 | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $5.8K | Commanders $1.0M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $433 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 | — |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $68 | — | Under $99 | — |