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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hideo | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (240–62, n=302) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 341 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 92% of 290) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hideo | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $87K | — | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.8K | — | No $253K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $91K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.8K | — | No $32K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | Yes $172K | — |