← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hideo | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (239–62, n=301) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 341 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 14) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 92% of 290) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hideo | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $86K | — | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $92K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.5K | — | No $34K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | Yes $170K | — |