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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| hopedieslast | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (104–72, n=176) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $222K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #951 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (15 of 19 open) | 62% (92 of 149 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=184 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 193 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 11% of 45) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 33% of 36) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 68% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 91% of 75) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hopedieslast | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Ravens $727 | Bills $387K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $91 | Browns $300K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $3.6K | Browns $259K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $257 | Raiders $105K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $21 | Cardinals $32K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.6K | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $644 | Cardinals $2.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $37 | Bills $35K |