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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hopedieslast | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (104–72, n=176) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $223K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #951 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (15 of 19 open) | 65% (99 of 152 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | 59% (19 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=184 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 193 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 11% of 45) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 33% of 36) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 68% of 37) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 91% of 75) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hopedieslast | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $1.8K | — | Buccaneers $4.9K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $847 | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $990 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $591 | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $321 | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $2.1K | — | Raiders $138 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $935 | — | Under $65 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $211 | — | Browns $471 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.9K | — | Under $2.8K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $1.8K | — | Jaguars $4 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $90 | — | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $271 | — | Under $828 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $546 | — | Over $2 |