← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2617–1700, n=4317) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 8% (1 of 12 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2426 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 557) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1190) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | — | Commanders $161K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $10K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | — | Commanders $32K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | — | — | No $26K |