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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| insidero | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (180–56, n=236) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (48 of 58 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (16 of 25 open) | 74% (71 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 282 at avg 83¢, ROI +6% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 20% of 10) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 71% of 17) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 92% of 24) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 98% of 231) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | insidero | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $80 | — | — | No $24K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | — | No $22K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |