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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)45% (508–621, n=1129)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$572K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus39% (11 of 28 open)25% (1 of 4 open)61% (28 of 46 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $410—Magic $161Magic $13K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $111K——Magic $24K
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $854—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $835—Under $213—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $306—Jose Pereira $129—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
same side · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Felipe de Dios $287—Felipe de Dios $1—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $24—Celtics $3—