Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kegliRN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)53% (50–44, n=94)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$12K$14.8M$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #984PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus77% (23 of 30 open)57% (26 of 46 open)87% (143 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −4 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won34% of 70 at avg 32¢, ROI +2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 7% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 40% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 56% of 9)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 93% of 15)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkegliRN1BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $407K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—Yes $280K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $196—Yes $22K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $538—Yes $15K—
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45—Yes $1.8K—
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $1.8K—
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $374—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $273—