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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keglibeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (50–44, n=94)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$12K$5.8M$4.4M$11.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #984was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus77% (23 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −4 pts, n=22NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won34% of 70 at avg 32¢, ROI +2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 7% of 41)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 40% of 5)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 56% of 9)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 93% of 15)14% (won 86% of 29)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeglibeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $6——No $407K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——Yes $280K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $196——Yes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $538——Yes $15K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45——Yes $1.8K
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $1.8K
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10——Yes $374
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8——Yes $273