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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kekkone | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (842–261, n=1103) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $140K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (18 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (77 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Finance −3 pts, n=24 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1327 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 300) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 42% of 204) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 73% of 337) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 486) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kekkone | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.5K | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.5K | — | No $35K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | No $21K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $450 | — | No $10K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $720 | — | Yes $272K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $720 | — | No $40K |