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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korda77CORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)54% (4211–3532, n=7743)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$202K$4.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #371PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus73% (37 of 51 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (78 of 108 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=620——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won72% of 4526 at avg 70¢, ROI +9%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 12% of 985)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 47% of 260)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 65% of 330)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up65% (won 95% of 2951)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkorda77CORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1—Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1—No $88K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3—No $40K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3—No $24K—